Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.045618 0.053147 0.061523 0.071532 0.083168 0.096273 0.112158
2025-11-09 0.032684 0.042162 0.053810 0.069177 0.088932 0.113492 0.146385
2025-11-16 0.025828 0.036045 0.049605 0.068919 0.095749 0.131752 0.183836
2025-11-23 0.021139 0.031475 0.046088 0.068257 0.101083 0.147986 0.220286
2025-11-30 0.018279 0.028781 0.044459 0.069572 0.108864 0.168128 0.264621
2025-12-07 0.015621 0.025850 0.041881 0.068835 0.113125 0.183228 0.303077
2025-12-14 0.013293 0.023017 0.038944 0.066931 0.115019 0.194545 0.336676
2025-12-21 0.011408 0.020598 0.036276 0.064972 0.116352 0.204834 0.369597
2025-12-28 0.010373 0.019476 0.035606 0.066277 0.123347 0.225414 0.422895
2026-01-04 0.009353 0.018218 0.034501 0.066590 0.128504 0.243246 0.473407
2026-01-11 0.008457 0.017057 0.033399 0.066716 0.133248 0.260774 0.525481
2026-01-18 0.007787 0.016235 0.032817 0.067735 0.139782 0.282388 0.588197
2026-01-25 0.007275 0.015679 0.032714 0.069761 0.148733 0.310126 0.667643
2026-02-01 0.006402 0.014248 0.030656 0.067480 0.148500 0.319309 0.709818
2026-02-08 0.005822 0.013365 0.029624 0.067231 0.152541 0.337862 0.774641
2026-02-15 0.005280 0.012490 0.028487 0.066586 0.155593 0.354613 0.837649
2026-02-22 0.004944 0.012036 0.028223 0.067869 0.163163 0.382259 0.929296
2026-03-01 0.004505 0.011279 0.027165 0.067150 0.165939 0.399288 0.998120
2026-03-08 0.004044 0.010404 0.025717 0.065293 0.165720 0.409236 1.051029
2026-03-15 0.003633 0.009595 0.024323 0.063381 0.165102 0.418115 1.102439
2026-03-22 0.003436 0.009311 0.024192 0.064654 0.172729 0.448289 1.212619
2026-03-29 0.003207 0.008911 0.023714 0.064960 0.177875 0.472817 1.311263
2026-04-05 0.002990 0.008514 0.023194 0.065083 0.182553 0.496709 1.411466